Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will FC Dordrecht vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Yes 75%
$44.9
-$100.74
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR ARocky33<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $23.55 | $25.6 | +$2.05 | 78% 805-225 (1030) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 81.6¢ | $15.74 | $19.3 | +$3.56 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
AH aHjCz | Noavg 99.7¢ | $214.26 | — | -$70.92 | 25% 1331-4013 (5344) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16¢ | $16.1 | — | -$16.1 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.9¢ | $9.61 | — | -$9.61 | 47% 985-1122 (2107) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13.8¢ | $4.26 | — | -$4.26 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.4¢ | $4.85 | — | -$4.85 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 51% 917-874 (1791) |
Invested
$23.55
Value
$25.6
PnL
+$2.05
Record
78%
805-225 (1030)
Invested
$15.74
Value
$19.3
PnL
+$3.56
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Invested
$214.26
Value
—
PnL
-$70.92
Record
25%
1331-4013 (5344)
Invested
$16.1
Value
—
PnL
-$16.1
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$9.61
Value
—
PnL
-$9.61
Record
47%
985-1122 (2107)
Invested
$4.26
Value
—
PnL
-$4.26
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$4.85
Value
—
PnL
-$4.85
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
51%
917-874 (1791)