Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
FC Dordrecht vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
No 78%
$125.03
-$23.21
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Yesavg 58¢ | $57.99 | $99.98 | +$41.99 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
SU suntori<$100 | Yesavg 38¢ | $9.52 | $25.05 | +$15.53 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Noavg 47¢ | $37.18 | — | -$37.18 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | $0.88 | — | -$0.88 | 59% 728-499 (1227) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | $10.84 | — | -$10.84 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Noavg 42¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 42¢ | $26.44 | — | -$26.44 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Noavg 39¢ | $3.21 | — | -$3.21 | 42% 1060-1490 (2550) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 4¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Yesavg 50¢ | $115 | — | +$0 | 68% 136-63 (199) |
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$57.99
Value
$99.98
PnL
+$41.99
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
Invested
$9.52
Value
$25.05
PnL
+$15.53
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
Invested
$37.18
Value
—
PnL
-$37.18
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Invested
$0.88
Value
—
PnL
-$0.88
Record
59%
728-499 (1227)
Invested
$10.84
Value
—
PnL
-$10.84
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)
Invested
$26.44
Value
—
PnL
-$26.44
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
Invested
$3.21
Value
—
PnL
-$3.21
Record
42%
1060-1490 (2550)
Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
Invested
$115
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
136-63 (199)