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RN1CTROverUnder
poshposh<$100UnderOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
NAC Breda vs. FC Emmen: O/U 6.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 67%
Total Value
$269.36
Combined PnL
-$996.84
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,097
Combined PnL$-1.0K
Under2 traders
Total Value$269.36
Total Shares269
Combined PnL+$5.97
Over — 67%Under — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR | Overavg 22¢ | $717.89 | — | -$717.89 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
PE pelik | Underavg 99.9¢ | $180.08 | $180.26 | +$0.18 | 99% 1575-4 (1579) |
poshposh<$100 | Underavg 93.5¢ | $83.31 | $89.1 | +$5.79 | 49% 1169-1236 (2405) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 23.2¢ | $284.28 | — | -$284.28 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.1¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 3% 9-291 (300) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 8.8¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 37% 1063-1796 (2859) |
RN1CTRInvested
$717.89
Value
—
PnL
-$717.89
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
PE
pelikInvested
$180.08
Value
$180.26
PnL
+$0.18
Record
99%
1575-4 (1579)
poshposh<$100Invested
$83.31
Value
$89.1
PnL
+$5.79
Record
49%
1169-1236 (2405)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$284.28
Value
—
PnL
-$284.28
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
SP
SpringlyFawlCTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
3%
9-291 (300)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
37%
1063-1796 (2859)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x29c689df...45d9c5
Slug
ned2-bre-emm-2026-11-14-total-6pt5