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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

NAC Breda vs. FC Emmen: O/U 4.5

Resolved Over. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Under 63%

Total Value

$373.76

Combined PnL

-$500.13

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares885

Combined PnL-$530.16

Over4 traders

Total Value$373.76

Total Shares374

Combined PnL+$30.03

Under — 56%Over — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Underavg 37.4¢	$178.31	—	-$178.31	53% 2162-1905 (4067)
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540	Overavg 99¢	$286.95	$289.85	+$2.9	84% 76-15 (91)
WA WagerWizard<$100	Overavg 96¢	$54.71	$56.99	+$2.28	41% 147-210 (357)
MA MadridTime<$100	Overavg 24¢	$6.46	$26.92	+$20.46	38% 1014-1686 (2700)
SU suntoriCTR	Underavg 81¢	$190.47	—	-$190.47	46% 2743-3256 (5999)
RN1CTR	Underavg 71.2¢	$141.99	—	-$141.99	55% 5402-4371 (9773)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Underavg 4¢	$2.28	—	-$2.28	37% 1063-1796 (2859)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Underavg 30.8¢	$17.11	—	-$17.11	37% 991-1715 (2706)
AR ARocky33<$100	Overavg 28¢	$11.2	—	+$4.4	78% 795-223 (1018)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$178.31

Value

—

PnL

-$178.31

Record

53%

2162-1905 (4067)

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540

Invested

$286.95

Value

$289.85

PnL

+$2.9

Record

84%

76-15 (91)

WagerWizard<$100

Invested

$54.71

Value

$56.99

PnL

+$2.28

Record

41%

147-210 (357)

MadridTime<$100

Invested

$6.46

Value

$26.92

PnL

+$20.46

Record

38%

1014-1686 (2700)

Invested

$190.47

Value

—

PnL

-$190.47

Record

46%

2743-3256 (5999)

Invested

$141.99

Value

—

PnL

-$141.99

Record

55%

5402-4371 (9773)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Invested

$2.28

Value

—

PnL

-$2.28

Record

37%

1063-1796 (2859)

VenusianCTR<$100

Invested

$17.11

Value

—

PnL

-$17.11

Record

37%

991-1715 (2706)

Invested

$11.2

Value

—

PnL

+$4.4

Record

78%

795-223 (1018)

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc442a17a...91059e

Slug

ned2-bre-emm-2026-11-14-total-4pt5

Traders in this Market

GoalLineGhost

Under — $0

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540

Over — $289.85

WagerWizard

Over — $56.99

MadridTime

Over — $26.92

suntori

Under — $0

RN1

Under — $0

topdogbigboi

Under — $0

Venusian

Under — $0

ARocky33

Over — $0

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