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OverUnderUnderUnder
poshposhCTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Almere City FC vs. Helmond Sport: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$231.4
Combined PnL
-$125.27
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$231.4
Total Shares231
Combined PnL+$155.56
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares426
Combined PnL-$280.82
Over — 20%Under — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboi | Overavg 32.8¢ | $75.84 | $231.4 | +$155.56 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
DA dashattackerCTR<$100 | Underavg 60¢ | $18 | — | -$18 | 65% 329-177 (506) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 67.8¢ | $240.11 | — | -$240.11 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $8.46 | — | -$8.46 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 59¢ | $14.25 | — | -$14.25 | 49% 1233-1293 (2526) |
TO
topdogbigboiInvested
$75.84
Value
$231.4
PnL
+$155.56
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
DA
dashattackerCTR<$100Invested
$18
Value
—
PnL
-$18
Record
65%
329-177 (506)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$240.11
Value
—
PnL
-$240.11
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$8.46
Value
—
PnL
-$8.46
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$14.25
Value
—
PnL
-$14.25
Record
49%
1233-1293 (2526)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x691c361f...08c5c3
Slug
ned2-alm-hel-2026-11-14-total-4pt5