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UnderOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 265.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 80%
Total Value
$92.27
Combined PnL
-$90.62
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$92.27
Total Shares92
Combined PnL+$4.33
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares682
Combined PnL-$94.95
Under — 20%Over — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Underavg 95¢ | $2.1K | $92.27 | +$4.33 | 57% 17059-13038 (30097) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Overavg 15¢ | $75 | — | -$75 | 54% 4009-3371 (7380) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 6¢ | $4.57 | — | -$4.57 | 50% 27970-27422 (55392) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 15¢ | $69 | — | -$10.35 | 48% 70301-75984 (146285) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Overavg 15¢ | $44.6 | — | -$5.03 | 52% 27288-24794 (52082) |
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Invested
$2,090.27
Value
$92.27
PnL
+$4.33
Record
57%
17059-13038 (30097)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$75
Value
—
PnL
-$75
Record
54%
4009-3371 (7380)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$4.57
Value
—
PnL
-$4.57
Record
50%
27970-27422 (55392)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$69
Value
—
PnL
-$10.35
Record
48%
70301-75984 (146285)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$44.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.03
Record
52%
27288-24794 (52082)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1696a5d5...d6e3eb
Slug
nba-phi-chi-2026-11-08-total-265pt5