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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5

Resolved Over. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Under 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

$-4.3K

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares10,195

Combined PnL$-5.0K

Over3 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,537

Combined PnL+$765.69

Under — 63%Over — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MA marvelousmarvinCTR	Underavg 50¢	$4.7K	—	$-4.7K	62% 55-34 (89)
AN Anon455ARB<$100	Underavg 46.6¢	$1.3K	$507.72	-$778.88	54% 4009-3371 (7380)
└ Under leg	Underavg 46.6¢	$991.84	—	-$991.88
└ Over leg	Overavg 58¢	$294.68	$507.72	+$212.99
JU justaluckydude	Overavg 47.7¢	$840	$840	+$439.31	53% 13686-12064 (25750)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Overavg 52.1¢	$3.5K	$597.03	+$274.38	57% 17059-13038 (30097)
SN SnakeBallCTR	Underavg 59¢	$239	—	-$239	50% 48622-48197 (96819)
CI cigarettes	Overavg 48¢	$100	$100	+$52	50% 65492-65807 (131299)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Underavg 42¢	$96.98	—	-$40.73	50% 27970-27422 (55392)
PA Pan9XCTR	Underavg 21.9¢	$338.53	—	-$11.3	52% 27288-24794 (52082)
38 38791873984189CTR	Underavg 41.9¢	$774.69	—	-$6.55	48% 70301-75984 (146285)

marvelousmarvinCTR

Invested

$4,747.36

Value

—

PnL

$-4.7K

Record

62%

55-34 (89)

Anon455ARB<$100

Invested

$1,286.6

Value

$507.72

PnL

-$778.88

Record

54%

4009-3371 (7380)

Both legs:

Under$991.8446.6¢-$991.88

Over$294.6858¢+$212.99

Invested

$840

Value

$840

PnL

+$439.31

Record

53%

13686-12064 (25750)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$3,540.75

Value

$597.03

PnL

+$274.38

Record

57%

17059-13038 (30097)

Invested

$239

Value

—

PnL

-$239

Record

50%

48622-48197 (96819)

Invested

$100

Value

$100

PnL

+$52

Record

50%

65492-65807 (131299)

sentrioCTR<$100

Invested

$96.98

Value

—

PnL

-$40.73

Record

50%

27970-27422 (55392)

Invested

$338.53

Value

—

PnL

-$11.3

Record

52%

27288-24794 (52082)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$774.69

Value

—

PnL

-$6.55

Record

48%

70301-75984 (146285)

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc0c9cd39...80f2e3

Slug

nba-phi-chi-2026-11-08-total-241pt5

Traders in this Market

marvelousmarvin

Under — $0

Anon455

Arbitrage — excluded

justaluckydude

Over — $840

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $597.03

SnakeBall

Under — $0

cigarettes

Over — $100

sentrio

Under — $0

Pan9X

Under — $0

38791873984189

Under — $0

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