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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Timberwolves — but Bucks won instead.

Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5)

Resolved Bucks. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Timberwolves. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Timberwolves 75%

Total Value

$420.33

Combined PnL

$-1.9K

Smart Money Signal

Timberwolves

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Timberwolves0%

Bucks100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Timberwolves6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares4,622

Combined PnL$-2.1K

Bucks2 traders

Total Value$420.33

Total Shares420

Combined PnL+$145.54

Timberwolves — 75%Bucks — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR	Timberwolvesavg 47¢	$3.9K	—	$-1.8K	50% 4093-4032 (8125)
VE Venusian	Bucksavg 68¢	$320	$320	+$102.4	52% 610-554 (1164)
AN Anon455	Bucksavg 57¢	$100.33	$100.33	+$43.14	55% 3201-2600 (5801)
UP UpTheBluesCTR	Timberwolvesavg 31¢	$284	—	-$88.04	58% 48721-34848 (83569)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Timberwolvesavg 27.1¢	$69.32	—	-$69.32	51% 21013-19995 (41008)
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100	Timberwolvesavg 45¢	$58.96	—	-$27.68	51% 4308-4134 (8442)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Timberwolvesavg 32¢	$35.84	—	-$35.84	47% 13872-15352 (29224)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Timberwolvesavg 32¢	$5.52	—	-$5.52	52% 6773-6135 (12908)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR

Invested

$3,899

Value

—

PnL

$-1.8K

Record

50%

4093-4032 (8125)

Invested

$320

Value

$320

PnL

+$102.4

Record

52%

610-554 (1164)

Invested

$100.33

Value

$100.33

PnL

+$43.14

Record

55%

3201-2600 (5801)

Invested

$284

Value

—

PnL

-$88.04

Record

58%

48721-34848 (83569)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Invested

$69.32

Value

—

PnL

-$69.32

Record

51%

21013-19995 (41008)

6512395314597884CTR<$100

Invested

$58.96

Value

—

PnL

-$27.68

Record

51%

4308-4134 (8442)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$35.84

Value

—

PnL

-$35.84

Record

47%

13872-15352 (29224)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Invested

$5.52

Value

—

PnL

-$5.52

Record

52%

6773-6135 (12908)

Smart Money Signal

Timberwolves

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xda971978...022a67

Slug

nba-mil-min-2026-11-02-spread-home-17pt5

Traders in this Market

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

Timberwolves — $0

Venusian

Bucks — $320

Anon455

Bucks — $100.33

UpTheBlues

Timberwolves — $0

Flaznorp

Timberwolves — $0

6512395314597884

Timberwolves — $0

38791873984189

Timberwolves — $0

HRTrading

Timberwolves — $0

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