Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Bucks β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Bucks

Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
Resolved Bucks. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Bucks. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Bucks 50%
2 arb excluded
$1.6K
$145.74
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Timberwolvesavg 25.7Β’ | $2.0K | $621.98 | -$18.05 | 51% 21013-19995 (41008) |
| β Bucks leg | Bucksavg 47.7Β’ | $296.87 | $621.98 | +$325.06 | |
| β Timberwolves leg | Timberwolvesavg 25.7Β’ | $343.08 | β | -$343.11 | |
HO HomeRunHazard | Bucksavg 57.7Β’ | $417.73 | $412.73 | +$172.47 | 54% 17558-14752 (32310) |
LI Limousin | Bucksavg 58Β’ | $364.89 | $353.5 | +$142.21 | 54% 631-539 (1170) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Bucksavg 52.2Β’ | $211.43 | $212.99 | +$24.76 | 47% 13872-15352 (29224) |
| β Bucks leg | Bucksavg 52.2Β’ | $111.17 | $212.99 | +$104.14 | |
| β Timberwolves leg | Timberwolvesavg 42Β’ | $79.38 | β | -$79.38 | |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR | Timberwolvesavg 42Β’ | $126.42 | β | -$126.42 | 58% 43911-31950 (75861) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Bucksavg 48Β’ | $26.09 | $39 | +$12.91 | 52% 6773-6135 (12908) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR<$100 | Timberwolvesavg 57Β’ | $93.02 | β | -$53.02 | 50% 4093-4032 (8125) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Timberwolvesavg 42Β’ | $5.71 | β | -$2.4 | 45% 13215-16086 (29301) |
Invested
$1,954.84
Value
$621.98
PnL
-$18.05
Record
51%
21013-19995 (41008)
Both legs:
Invested
$417.73
Value
$412.73
PnL
+$172.47
Record
54%
17558-14752 (32310)
Invested
$364.89
Value
$353.5
PnL
+$142.21
Record
54%
631-539 (1170)
Invested
$211.43
Value
$212.99
PnL
+$24.76
Record
47%
13872-15352 (29224)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$126.42
Value
β
PnL
-$126.42
Record
58%
43911-31950 (75861)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$26.09
Value
$39
PnL
+$12.91
Record
52%
6773-6135 (12908)
Invested
$93.02
Value
β
PnL
-$53.02
Record
50%
4093-4032 (8125)
Invested
$5.71
Value
β
PnL
-$2.4
Record
45%
13215-16086 (29301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
HomeRunHazard
Bucks β $412.73
Limousin
Bucks β $353.5
38791873984189
ARBArbitrage β excluded

VeryLucky888
CTRTimberwolves β $0

HRTrading
Bucks β $39
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
CTRTimberwolves β $0
suntori
CTRTimberwolves β $0