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UnderOverOverOver
RN1CTROverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 110.5
Resolved Under. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Over 86%
Total Value
$940.19
Combined PnL
-$189.18
Smart Money Signal
Over
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$940.19
Total Shares940
Combined PnL+$526.51
Over6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,268
Combined PnL-$715.69
Under — 14%Over — 86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LE LesterDiamond | Underavg 44¢ | $413.68 | $940.19 | +$526.51 | 70% 31-13 (44) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Overavg 53¢ | $42.31 | — | -$42.31 | 45% 304-377 (681) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Overavg 56¢ | $577.08 | — | -$474.65 | 55% 843-701 (1544) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 54.3¢ | $30.49 | — | -$22.49 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
RN1CTR | Overavg 56.1¢ | $105.42 | — | -$105.42 | 57% 4155-3181 (7336) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 58¢ | $59.99 | — | -$59.99 | 47% 1320-1474 (2794) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 52¢ | $10.83 | — | -$10.83 | 36% 410-719 (1129) |
LE
LesterDiamondInvested
$413.68
Value
$940.19
PnL
+$526.51
Record
70%
31-13 (44)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$42.31
Value
—
PnL
-$42.31
Record
45%
304-377 (681)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTRInvested
$577.08
Value
—
PnL
-$474.65
Record
55%
843-701 (1544)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$30.49
Value
—
PnL
-$22.49
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
RN1CTRInvested
$105.42
Value
—
PnL
-$105.42
Record
57%
4155-3181 (7336)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$59.99
Value
—
PnL
-$59.99
Record
47%
1320-1474 (2794)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$10.83
Value
—
PnL
-$10.83
Record
36%
410-719 (1129)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe41784c9...835948
Slug
nba-gsw-hou-2026-11-11-1h-total-110pt5