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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Pistons vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5

Resolved Over. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Under 33%

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

$50.9

Smart Money Signal

Under

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over6 traders

Total Value$2.4K

Total Shares2,360

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Under3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,131

Combined PnL$-1.1K

Over — 67%Under — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Overavg 45.5¢	$996.48	$2.0K	+$1.0K	55% 1770-1448 (3218)
dips.	Overavg 32¢	$32	$100	+$68	48% 1115-1227 (2342)
US User7429<$100	Overavg 96.3¢	$59.72	$62	+$2.28	42% 374-523 (897)
TO topdogbigboi	Overavg 49¢	$56.93	$116.21	+$59.28	38% 1308-2106 (3414)
38 38791873984189<$100	Overavg 44.5¢	$37.16	$75	+$37.84	47% 3551-3935 (7486)
TA takeormake<$100	Overavg 57¢	$1.75	$3.07	+$1.32	57% 3591-2667 (6258)
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100	Underavg 1¢	$0.52	—	-$0.52	3% 9-314 (323)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR	Underavg 54.6¢	$1.1K	—	$-1.1K	45% 140-171 (311)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Underavg 4¢	$0.88	—	-$0.88	46% 877-1050 (1927)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$996.48

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

55%

1770-1448 (3218)

Invested

$32

Value

$100

PnL

+$68

Record

48%

1115-1227 (2342)

Invested

$59.72

Value

$62

PnL

+$2.28

Record

42%

374-523 (897)

Invested

$56.93

Value

$116.21

PnL

+$59.28

Record

38%

1308-2106 (3414)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$37.16

Value

$75

PnL

+$37.84

Record

47%

3551-3935 (7486)

takeormake<$100

Invested

$1.75

Value

$3.07

PnL

+$1.32

Record

57%

3591-2667 (6258)

SpringlyFawlCTR<$100

Invested

$0.52

Value

—

PnL

-$0.52

Record

3%

9-314 (323)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR

Invested

$1,123.23

Value

—

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

45%

140-171 (311)

Invested

$0.88

Value

—

PnL

-$0.88

Record

46%

877-1050 (1927)

Smart Money Signal

Under

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xcb07b228...7ab89f

Slug

nba-det-mia-2026-11-14-1h-total-125pt5

Traders in this Market

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Over — $2.0K

dips.

Over — $100

User7429

Over — $62

topdogbigboi

Over — $116.21

38791873984189

Over — $75

takeormake

Over — $3.07

SpringlyFawl

Under — $0

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Under — $0

lryyy

Under — $0

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