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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 205.5

Resolved Over. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Under 55%

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$86.4

Smart Money Signal

Under

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over5 traders
Total Value$2.3K
Total Shares2,291
Combined PnL+$1.1K
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,366
Combined PnL$-1.2K
Over — 45%Under — 55%
FL
Flaznorp
Over

Invested

$1,921.28

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$888.37

Record

51%

21013-19995 (41008)

CH
chiefphiCTR
Under

Invested

$1,000

Value

—

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

53%

125-113 (238)

LI
Limousin
Over

Invested

$268.16

Value

$268.16

PnL

+$134.08

Record

54%

631-539 (1170)

VE
VenusianCTR
Under

Invested

$257.5

Value

—

PnL

-$133.9

Record

52%

610-554 (1164)

JU
justaluckydude<$100
Over

Invested

$91

Value

$91

PnL

+$44.59

Record

53%

11351-9949 (21300)

TO
torta.techCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$90

Value

—

PnL

-$39.6

Record

62%

8336-5010 (13346)

HRTrading<$100
Over

Invested

$25.32

Value

$50.64

PnL

+$25.32

Record

52%

6773-6135 (12908)

UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.12

Record

58%

48721-34848 (83569)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100
Over

Invested

$5.11

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$2.4

Record

47%

1177-1320 (2497)

0X
0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

50%

4093-4032 (8125)

0X
0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.25

Record

53%

6201-5481 (11682)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x76f38628...72d415
Slug
nba-det-cha-2026-11-02-total-205pt5

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

Over — $1.9K

+$888.37
CH

chiefphi

CTR

Under — $0

$-1.0K
LI

Limousin

Over — $268.16

+$134.08
VE

Venusian

CTR

Under — $0

-$133.9
JU

justaluckydude

Over — $91

+$44.59
TO

torta.tech

CTR

Under — $0

-$39.6

HRTrading

Over — $50.64

+$25.32
UP

UpTheBlues

CTR

Under — $0

-$3.12
KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Over — $5.11

+$2.4
0X

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375

CTR

Under — $0

-$2.3
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