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OverOverUnderUnderOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5
Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 57%
Total Value
$123.24
Combined PnL
-$92.41
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$123.24
Total Shares123
Combined PnL+$9.59
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares230
Combined PnL-$102
Over — 43%Under — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR Dreamwire<$100 | Overavg 99.9¢ | $93.15 | $93.24 | +$0.09 | 75% 238-81 (319) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Overavg 59¢ | $13.3 | $22 | +$8.7 | 46% 877-1050 (1927) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Underavg 27¢ | $33.65 | — | -$33.65 | 55% 1770-1448 (3218) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 42.5¢ | $50.14 | — | -$50.14 | 38% 1308-2106 (3414) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Overavg 90¢ | $7.2 | $8 | +$0.8 | 50% 1827-1860 (3687) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Underavg 28¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 47% 3551-3935 (7486) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Underavg 40.4¢ | $14 | — | -$14 | 40% 632-954 (1586) |
DR
Dreamwire<$100Invested
$93.15
Value
$93.24
PnL
+$0.09
Record
75%
238-81 (319)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$13.3
Value
$22
PnL
+$8.7
Record
46%
877-1050 (1927)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100Invested
$33.65
Value
—
PnL
-$33.65
Record
55%
1770-1448 (3218)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$50.14
Value
—
PnL
-$50.14
Record
38%
1308-2106 (3414)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.8
Record
50%
1827-1860 (3687)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
47%
3551-3935 (7486)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$14
Record
40%
632-954 (1586)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0e7ec222...fcf83d
Slug
nba-dal-cle-2026-11-14-1h-total-119pt5