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TimberwolvesBullsTimberwolvesBullsTimberwolvesBulls
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Timberwolves — but Bulls won instead.
1H Spread: Bulls (-7.5)
Resolved Bulls. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Timberwolves. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Timberwolves 50%
Total Value
$200.82
Combined PnL
$25.65
Smart Money Signal
Timberwolves
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Bulls100%
Timberwolves0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Timberwolves3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares192
Combined PnL-$101.37
Bulls3 traders
Total Value$200.82
Total Shares201
Combined PnL+$127.03
Timberwolves — 50%Bulls — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Timberwolvesavg 55¢ | $59.47 | — | -$59.47 | 55% 1770-1448 (3218) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Bullsavg 35¢ | $31.59 | $88 | +$56.41 | 46% 877-1050 (1927) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Timberwolvesavg 31.2¢ | $41.59 | — | -$41.59 | 38% 1308-2106 (3414) |
38 38791873984189 | Bullsavg 37.5¢ | $40.04 | $106.82 | +$66.78 | 47% 3551-3935 (7486) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Timberwolvesavg 2¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 42% 374-523 (897) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Bullsavg 36¢ | $2.16 | $6 | +$3.84 | 50% 1827-1860 (3687) |
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100Invested
$59.47
Value
—
PnL
-$59.47
Record
55%
1770-1448 (3218)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$31.59
Value
$88
PnL
+$56.41
Record
46%
877-1050 (1927)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$41.59
Value
—
PnL
-$41.59
Record
38%
1308-2106 (3414)
38
38791873984189Invested
$40.04
Value
$106.82
PnL
+$66.78
Record
47%
3551-3935 (7486)
US
User7429CTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
42%
374-523 (897)
PA
Pan9X<$100Invested
$2.16
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.84
Record
50%
1827-1860 (3687)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdce1320a...1b642f
Slug
nba-chi-min-2026-11-14-1h-spread-away-7pt5