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nigiri99YesNoNoNoNo
VeryLucky888<$100YesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Minnesota United FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 67%
Total Value
$675.77
Combined PnL
-$365.32
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$675.77
Total Shares676
Combined PnL+$231.11
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,699
Combined PnL-$596.43
Yes — 29%No — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
nigiri99 | Yesavg 68.1¢ | $429.75 | $631 | +$214.54 | 46% 8770-10464 (19234) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 33¢ | $183.08 | — | -$183.08 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Noavg 36.1¢ | $175.55 | — | -$175.55 | 48% 1776-1912 (3688) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Noavg 36.1¢ | $164.48 | — | -$164.48 | 49% 1800-1902 (3702) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 36.1¢ | $73.32 | — | -$73.32 | 50% 1850-1866 (3716) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Yesavg 64¢ | $28.65 | $44.77 | +$16.56 | 58% 47904-34520 (82424) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Noavg 50¢ | $400 | — | +$0 | — 1-0 (1) |
nigiri99Invested
$429.75
Value
$631
PnL
+$214.54
Record
46%
8770-10464 (19234)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$183.08
Value
—
PnL
-$183.08
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
MA
MadridTimeCTRInvested
$175.55
Value
—
PnL
-$175.55
Record
48%
1776-1912 (3688)
LI
LightParadoxCTRInvested
$164.48
Value
—
PnL
-$164.48
Record
49%
1800-1902 (3702)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$73.32
Value
—
PnL
-$73.32
Record
50%
1850-1866 (3716)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$28.65
Value
$44.77
PnL
+$16.56
Record
58%
47904-34520 (82424)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$400
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
1-0 (1)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc90c5969...7320eb
Slug
mls-min-sje-2026-11-07-btts