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CoinTrickNoYes
balthazar<$100NoYes
2B9SCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 50%+?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$141.6
Combined PnL
-$0.09
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$141.6
Total Shares142
Combined PnL+$0.46
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares51
Combined PnL-$0.55
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick | Noavg 99.7¢ | $141.14 | $141.6 | +$0.46 | 98% 3115-75 (3190) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.1¢ | $0.55 | — | -$0.55 | 80% 247-63 (310) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20735-13149 (33884) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14903-27014 (41917) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3782-17083 (20865) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4342-9343 (13685) |
CoinTrickInvested
$141.14
Value
$141.6
PnL
+$0.46
Record
98%
3115-75 (3190)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100Invested
$0.55
Value
—
PnL
-$0.55
Record
80%
247-63 (310)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20735-13149 (33884)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14903-27014 (41917)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3782-17083 (20865)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4342-9343 (13685)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7de7ad10...9cae0e
Slug
microsoft-msft-q1-azure-revenue-growth-constant-currency-20261008120057000-50-or-more