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CoinTrickYes
clazzy1CTR<$100NoYesYesYes
2B9S<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 50%
Total Value
$604.1
Combined PnL
$9.4
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$604.1
Total Shares604
Combined PnL+$69.2
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares100
Combined PnL-$59.8
Yes — 83%No — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick | Yesavg 88.5¢ | $534.9 | $604.1 | +$69.2 | 98% 3115-75 (3190) |
clazzy1CTR<$100 | Noavg 59.8¢ | $59.8 | — | -$59.8 | 62% 373-228 (601) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Yesavg 41.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6354-5570 (11924) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Yesavg 22.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4342-9343 (13685) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Yesavg 24.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14903-27014 (41917) |
2B9S<$100 | Yesavg 24.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3782-17083 (20865) |
CoinTrickInvested
$534.9
Value
$604.1
PnL
+$69.2
Record
98%
3115-75 (3190)
clazzy1CTR<$100Invested
$59.8
Value
—
PnL
-$59.8
Record
62%
373-228 (601)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6354-5570 (11924)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4342-9343 (13685)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14903-27014 (41917)
2B9S<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3782-17083 (20865)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd364b887...a17a13
Slug
microsoft-msft-q1-azure-revenue-growth-constant-currency-20261008120057000-48-to-50