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CoinTrickNoYesYes
viniiCTR<$100YesYes
2B9SCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?
Resolved No. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$236
Combined PnL
$36.15
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 6 top traders (17%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$236
Total Shares236
Combined PnL+$113.01
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares426
Combined PnL-$76.86
No — 17%Yes — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick | Noavg 84.1¢ | $122.99 | $236 | +$113.01 | 98% 3115-75 (3190) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.9¢ | $76.86 | — | -$76.86 | 36% 14903-27014 (41917) |
12 123987456CTR<$100 | Yesavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 1824-2263 (4087) |
viniiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 74% 2703-970 (3673) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 18.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4342-9343 (13685) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3782-17083 (20865) |
CoinTrickInvested
$122.99
Value
$236
PnL
+$113.01
Record
98%
3115-75 (3190)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$76.86
Value
—
PnL
-$76.86
Record
36%
14903-27014 (41917)
12
123987456CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
1824-2263 (4087)
viniiCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
74%
2703-970 (3673)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4342-9343 (13685)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3782-17083 (20865)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9bb04b66...a2f69e
Slug
microsoft-msft-q1-azure-revenue-growth-constant-currency-20261008120057000-44-to-46