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OverUnderUnderUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
Piratas Veracruz vs. Cancun FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 83%
Total Value
$32
Combined PnL
-$199.16
Smart Money Signal
Under
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$32
Total Shares32
Combined PnL+$20.8
Under5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares447
Combined PnL-$219.96
Over β 17%Under β 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 35Β’ | $32 | $32 | +$20.8 | 52% 47498-44700 (92198) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Underavg 58Β’ | $238.1 | β | -$138.1 | 50% 48656-48220 (96876) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 41.7Β’ | $158.64 | β | -$66.13 | 47% 2268-2572 (4840) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 31.4Β’ | $26.29 | β | -$8.27 | 48% 2283-2446 (4729) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 30Β’ | $18.6 | β | -$5.58 | 47% 2196-2511 (4707) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 37Β’ | $5.11 | β | -$1.89 | 47% 2266-2532 (4798) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$32
Value
$32
PnL
+$20.8
Record
52%
47498-44700 (92198)
SN
SnakeBallCTRInvested
$238.1
Value
β
PnL
-$138.1
Record
50%
48656-48220 (96876)
VE
VenusianCTRInvested
$158.64
Value
β
PnL
-$66.13
Record
47%
2268-2572 (4840)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$26.29
Value
β
PnL
-$8.27
Record
48%
2283-2446 (4729)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$18.6
Value
β
PnL
-$5.58
Record
47%
2196-2511 (4707)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$5.11
Value
β
PnL
-$1.89
Record
47%
2266-2532 (4798)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcbfbbbc2...3405aa
Slug
mex2-pir-can-2026-11-08-first-half-total-0pt5