Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Leones Negros UDEG win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
No 63%
$5.4K
-$383.53
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 79.1¢ | $3.9K | $3.9K | -$17.36 | 48% 4837-5163 (10000) |
 rayvanmechelen | Noavg 62.2¢ | $676.03 | $1.1K | +$410.48 | 18% 67-305 (372) |
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 86.5¢ | $308.53 | $331.33 | +$22.81 | 39% 1675-2667 (4342) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Yesavg 37.9¢ | $694.37 | — | -$694.37 | 52% 2600-2380 (4980) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 92.1¢ | $80.43 | $87.37 | +$6.94 | 38% 1426-2282 (3708) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Yesavg 37.7¢ | $119.34 | — | -$113.24 | 54% 2011-1740 (3751) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 61¢ | $6.1 | $10 | +$3.9 | 38% 1437-2313 (3750) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.7¢ | $59.42 | — | -$5.32 | 48% 2658-2887 (5545) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Noavg 77.2¢ | $50 | $0.01 | +$2.64 | 83% 307-62 (369) |
Invested
$3,906.62
Value
$3.9K
PnL
-$17.36
Record
48%
4837-5163 (10000)
rayvanmechelenInvested
$676.03
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$410.48
Record
18%
67-305 (372)
Invested
$308.53
Value
$331.33
PnL
+$22.81
Record
39%
1675-2667 (4342)
Invested
$694.37
Value
—
PnL
-$694.37
Record
52%
2600-2380 (4980)
Invested
$80.43
Value
$87.37
PnL
+$6.94
Record
38%
1426-2282 (3708)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$119.34
Value
—
PnL
-$113.24
Record
54%
2011-1740 (3751)
Invested
$6.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.9
Record
38%
1437-2313 (3750)
Invested
$59.42
Value
—
PnL
-$5.32
Record
48%
2658-2887 (5545)
Invested
$50
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$2.64
Record
83%
307-62 (369)