Back to Markets
NoNo
VeryLucky888No
rayvanmechelenCTRYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Atletico Morelia win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$2.3K
Combined PnL
$132.08
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares1,423
Combined PnL+$435.33
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares898
Combined PnL-$303.25
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 74.9¢ | $1.2K | $831.35 | -$382.47 | 48% 4837-5163 (10000) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 74.9¢ | $622.83 | $831.35 | +$208.51 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 18.7¢ | $590.98 | — | -$590.98 | |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 69.5¢ | $804.36 | $1.2K | +$353.52 | 52% 2600-2380 (4980) |
VeryLucky888 | Noavg 66¢ | $132 | $200 | +$68 | 54% 2011-1740 (3751) |
rayvanmechelenCTR | Yesavg 34¢ | $301.36 | — | -$301.36 | 18% 67-305 (372) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 78.9¢ | $51.58 | $65.39 | +$13.81 | 39% 1675-2667 (4342) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $12.19 | — | -$1.89 | 48% 2658-2887 (5545) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$1,213.81
Value
$831.35
PnL
-$382.47
Record
48%
4837-5163 (10000)
Both legs:
No$622.8374.9¢+$208.51
Yes$590.9818.7¢-$590.98
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$804.36
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$353.52
Record
52%
2600-2380 (4980)
VeryLucky888Invested
$132
Value
$200
PnL
+$68
Record
54%
2011-1740 (3751)
rayvanmechelenCTRInvested
$301.36
Value
—
PnL
-$301.36
Record
18%
67-305 (372)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$51.58
Value
$65.39
PnL
+$13.81
Record
39%
1675-2667 (4342)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$12.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.89
Record
48%
2658-2887 (5545)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x5546667c...8f5e65
Slug
mex2-len-atm-2026-11-15-atm