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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Querétaro FC vs. CF Monterrey: CF Monterrey O/U 1.5

Resolved Under. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Over 25%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

$46.96

Smart Money Signal

Over

2 of 9 top traders (22%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,850

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Under7 traders

Total Value$2.9K

Total Shares2,910

Combined PnL+$1.5K

Over — 22%Under — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
JA JabJabichCTR	Overavg 46¢	$850.99	—	-$850.99	35% 43-79 (122)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Underavg 54¢	$633.92	$1.2K	+$540	40% 652-976 (1628)
VE Venusian	Underavg 35.7¢	$377.93	$1.1K	+$679.83	38% 1210-2005 (3215)
0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22CTR	Overavg 65¢	$649.98	—	-$649.98	56% 14-11 (25)
dips.	Underavg 54¢	$264.06	$315	+$143.16	48% 1156-1264 (2420)
SN SnakeBall	Underavg 49¢	$144.12	$294.12	+$150	47% 1088-1236 (2324)
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100	Underavg 53¢	$157.48	$174	+$16.52	38% 1351-2180 (3531)
└ Under leg	Underavg 53¢	$92.22	$174	+$81.78
└ Over leg	Overavg 51.1¢	$65.26	—	-$65.26
MA MadridTime<$100	Underavg 50¢	$29.74	$59.47	+$29.74	38% 1230-1969 (3199)
LI Limousin<$100	Underavg 49¢	$5	$10.2	+$5.2	38% 1202-1984 (3186)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Underavg 50¢	$959	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)

Invested

$850.99

Value

—

PnL

-$850.99

Record

35%

43-79 (122)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Invested

$633.92

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$540

Record

40%

652-976 (1628)

Invested

$377.93

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$679.83

Record

38%

1210-2005 (3215)

0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22CTR

Invested

$649.98

Value

—

PnL

-$649.98

Record

56%

14-11 (25)

Invested

$264.06

Value

$315

PnL

+$143.16

Record

48%

1156-1264 (2420)

Invested

$144.12

Value

$294.12

PnL

+$150

Record

47%

1088-1236 (2324)

topdogbigboiARB<$100

Invested

$157.48

Value

$174

PnL

+$16.52

Record

38%

1351-2180 (3531)

Both legs:

Under$92.2253¢+$81.78

Over$65.2651.1¢-$65.26

MadridTime<$100

Invested

$29.74

Value

$59.47

PnL

+$29.74

Record

38%

1230-1969 (3199)

Invested

$5

Value

$10.2

PnL

+$5.2

Record

38%

1202-1984 (3186)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$959

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

141-74 (215)

Smart Money Signal

Over

2 of 9 top traders (22%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xa9be2eb1...d8f7a2

Slug

mex-que-mon1-2026-09-05-team-total-away-1pt5

Traders in this Market

JabJabich

Over — $0

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Under — $1.2K

Venusian

Under — $1.1K

0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22

Over — $0

dips.

Under — $315

SnakeBall

Under — $294.12

topdogbigboi

Arbitrage — excluded

MadridTime

Under — $59.47

Limousin

Under — $10.2

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Under — $0

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