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CoinTrick<$100NoYesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%+?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$57.19
Combined PnL
-$0.66
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$57.19
Total Shares57
Combined PnL+$0.06
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares115
Combined PnL-$0.71
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $57.13 | $57.19 | +$0.06 | 98% 3157-75 (3232) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | $0.34 | — | -$0.71 | 78% 251-69 (320) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4361-9392 (13753) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 519-2318 (2837) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15094-27222 (42316) |
SN SnapElectionAvoider<$100 | Noavg 92.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 1110-993 (2103) |
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$57.13
Value
$57.19
PnL
+$0.06
Record
98%
3157-75 (3232)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100Invested
$0.34
Value
—
PnL
-$0.71
Record
78%
251-69 (320)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4361-9392 (13753)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
519-2318 (2837)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15094-27222 (42316)
SN
SnapElectionAvoider<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
1110-993 (2103)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x35574326...ab2b2d
Slug
mastercard-ma-q3-gross-dollar-volume-growth-local-currency-basis-9pt5