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No
CoinTrickNoYesYesNo
balthazar<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5% to 9.5%?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$603.83
Combined PnL
$132.6
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$603.83
Total Shares604
Combined PnL+$161.21
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares589
Combined PnL-$28.6
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnapElectionAvoider | Noavg 60.6¢ | $343.58 | $503.83 | +$160.24 | 53% 1110-993 (2103) |
CoinTrick | Noavg 99.4¢ | $99.42 | $100 | +$0.96 | 98% 3157-75 (3232) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.8¢ | $28.25 | — | -$28.6 | 78% 251-69 (320) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4361-9392 (13753) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 86.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15094-27222 (42316) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 54.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20834-13247 (34081) |
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderInvested
$343.58
Value
$503.83
PnL
+$160.24
Record
53%
1110-993 (2103)
CoinTrickInvested
$99.42
Value
$100
PnL
+$0.96
Record
98%
3157-75 (3232)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100Invested
$28.25
Value
—
PnL
-$28.6
Record
78%
251-69 (320)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4361-9392 (13753)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15094-27222 (42316)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20834-13247 (34081)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb0b86000...7115db
Slug
mastercard-ma-q3-gross-dollar-volume-growth-local-currency-basis-8pt5-to-9pt5