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CoinTrickYesYesNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100No
balthazarCTR<$100NoNo Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Yes β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 67%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
$300.35
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,090
Combined PnL+$270.72
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares114
Combined PnL+$29.63
Yes β 43%No β 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() CoinTrick | Yesavg 79.1Β’ | $395.58 | $500 | +$106.67 | 98% 3157-75 (3232) |
SN SnapElectionAvoider | Yesavg 36Β’ | $60.65 | $589.83 | +$164.05 | 53% 1110-993 (2103) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100 | Noavg 44.4Β’ | $72.76 | β | +$29.63 | 78% 251-69 (320) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Yesavg 31.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 32% 4361-9392 (13753) |
![]() IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 52Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 23% 288-962 (1250) |
![]() balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 45.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 61% 20834-13247 (34081) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 42.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 36% 15094-27222 (42316) |
CoinTrickInvested
$395.58
Value
$500
PnL
+$106.67
Record
98%
3157-75 (3232)
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderInvested
$60.65
Value
$589.83
PnL
+$164.05
Record
53%
1110-993 (2103)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100Invested
$72.76
Value
β
PnL
+$29.63
Record
78%
251-69 (320)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4361-9392 (13753)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
23%
288-962 (1250)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20834-13247 (34081)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15094-27222 (42316)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x043520d2...170206
Slug
mastercard-ma-q3-gross-dollar-volume-growth-local-currency-basis-7pt5-to-8pt5