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clazzy1No
CoinTrickNo
balthazar<$100NoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$467.28
Combined PnL
$68.76
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$467.28
Total Shares467
Combined PnL+$68.76
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
clazzy1 | Noavg 75¢ | $275.44 | $367.28 | +$68.22 | 62% 379-233 (612) |
CoinTrick | Noavg 99.4¢ | $99.43 | $100 | +$0.54 | 98% 3157-75 (3232) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 94.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20834-13247 (34081) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4361-9392 (13753) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 519-2318 (2837) |
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 53% 1110-993 (2103) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15094-27222 (42316) |
clazzy1Invested
$275.44
Value
$367.28
PnL
+$68.22
Record
62%
379-233 (612)
CoinTrickInvested
$99.43
Value
$100
PnL
+$0.54
Record
98%
3157-75 (3232)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20834-13247 (34081)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4361-9392 (13753)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
519-2318 (2837)
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
1110-993 (2103)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15094-27222 (42316)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3eb22499...8d5cca
Slug
mastercard-ma-q3-gross-dollar-volume-growth-local-currency-basis-6pt5