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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 12.5% to 13.5%?

Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

No 100%

Total Value

$100

Combined PnL

$0.19

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No10 traders

Total Value$100

Total Shares100

Combined PnL+$0.2

Yes2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL-$0.01

No — 83%Yes — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick	Noavg 99.8¢	$100	$100	+$0.2	98% 3157-75 (3232)
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100	Yesavg 6.8¢	$0.01	—	-$0.01	78% 251-69 (320)
AL alex20011<$100	Noavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	48% 3426-3707 (7133)
KA kaxel78<$100	Noavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	30% 269-615 (884)
PO pollo07<$100	Noavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	32% 317-685 (1002)
ZE zerone777<$100	Noavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	40% 393-591 (984)
AK akroll<$100	Noavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	32% 323-687 (1010)
KL klli27<$100	Noavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	31% 300-658 (958)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 10.6¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4361-9392 (13753)
Istaroth<$100	Noavg 73¢	—	—	+$0	23% 288-962 (1250)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 77.6¢	—	—	+$0	36% 15094-27222 (42316)
2B9S<$100	Noavg 83.5¢	—	—	+$0	18% 3784-17134 (20918)

Invested

$100

Value

$100

PnL

+$0.2

Record

98%

3157-75 (3232)

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100

Invested

$0.01

Value

—

PnL

-$0.01

Record

78%

251-69 (320)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

3426-3707 (7133)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

269-615 (884)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

317-685 (1002)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

393-591 (984)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

323-687 (1010)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

31%

300-658 (958)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4361-9392 (13753)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

23%

288-962 (1250)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

15094-27222 (42316)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

3784-17134 (20918)

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xac49dffe...67179d

Slug

mastercard-ma-q3-cross-border-volume-growth-local-currency-basis-12pt5-to-13pt5

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

No — $100

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e

Yes — $0

alex20011

No — $0

kaxel78

No — $0

pollo07

No — $0

zerone777

No — $0

akroll

No — $0

klli27

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

Istaroth

No — $0

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