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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%?

Resolved No. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

No 67%

Total Value

$300

Combined PnL

$86.74

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 14 top traders (79%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No11 traders

Total Value$300

Total Shares300

Combined PnL+$81.98

Yes3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares43

Combined PnL+$4.76

No — 79%Yes — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754	Noavg 60¢	$120	$200	+$80	— 4-1 (5)
CoinTrick	Noavg 98.5¢	$98.52	$100	+$1.98	98% 3157-75 (3232)
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100	Yesavg 11¢	$4.76	—	+$4.76	78% 251-69 (320)
AL alex20011<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	48% 3426-3707 (7133)
KA kaxel78<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	30% 269-615 (884)
PO pollo07<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	32% 317-685 (1002)
ZE zerone777<$100	Noavg 74¢	—	—	+$0	40% 393-591 (984)
AK akroll<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	32% 323-687 (1010)
12 123987456CTR<$100	Yesavg 12¢	—	—	+$0	45% 1834-2273 (4107)
KL klli27<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	31% 300-658 (958)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 35.8¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4361-9392 (13753)
Istaroth<$100	Noavg 73.3¢	—	—	+$0	23% 288-962 (1250)
2B9S<$100	Noavg 76¢	—	—	+$0	18% 3784-17134 (20918)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 68.5¢	—	—	+$0	36% 15094-27222 (42316)

0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754

Invested

$120

Value

$200

PnL

+$80

Record

—

4-1 (5)

Invested

$98.52

Value

$100

PnL

+$1.98

Record

98%

3157-75 (3232)

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR<$100

Invested

$4.76

Value

—

PnL

+$4.76

Record

78%

251-69 (320)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

3426-3707 (7133)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

269-615 (884)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

317-685 (1002)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

393-591 (984)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

323-687 (1010)

123987456CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

45%

1834-2273 (4107)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

31%

300-658 (958)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4361-9392 (13753)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

23%

288-962 (1250)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

3784-17134 (20918)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

15094-27222 (42316)

Smart Money Signal

No

11 of 14 top traders (79%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xec481601...0c21fa

Slug

mastercard-ma-q3-cross-border-volume-growth-local-currency-basis-11pt5-to-12pt5

Traders in this Market

0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754

No — $200

CoinTrick

No — $100

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e

Yes — $0

alex20011

No — $0

kaxel78

No — $0

pollo07

No — $0

zerone777

No — $0

akroll

No — $0

123987456

Yes — $0

klli27

No — $0

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