Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?

Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

No 67%

Total Value

$200

Combined PnL

-$295.54

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 12 top traders (83%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders

Total Value$200

Total Shares200

Combined PnL+$16.95

No10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares565

Combined PnL-$312.49

Yes — 17%No — 83%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CoinTrick	Yesavg 90¢	$180.05	$200	+$16.95	98% 3157-75 (3232)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR	Noavg 53.8¢	$495.38	—	-$314.07	36% 15094-27222 (42316)
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR	Noavg 48.8¢	$148.84	—	+$1.58	78% 251-69 (320)
AL alex20011CTR<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	48% 3426-3707 (7133)
KA kaxel78CTR<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	30% 269-615 (884)
PO pollo07CTR<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	32% 317-685 (1002)
ZE zerone777CTR<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	40% 393-591 (984)
AK akrollCTR<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	32% 323-687 (1010)
KL klli27CTR<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	31% 300-658 (958)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100	Yesavg 28.3¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4361-9392 (13753)
IstarothCTR<$100	Noavg 76.2¢	—	—	+$0	23% 288-962 (1250)
2B9SCTR<$100	Noavg 74.3¢	—	—	+$0	18% 3784-17134 (20918)

Invested

$180.05

Value

$200

PnL

+$16.95

Record

98%

3157-75 (3232)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR

Invested

$495.38

Value

—

PnL

-$314.07

Record

36%

15094-27222 (42316)

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eCTR

Invested

$148.84

Value

—

PnL

+$1.58

Record

78%

251-69 (320)

alex20011CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

3426-3707 (7133)

kaxel78CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

269-615 (884)

pollo07CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

317-685 (1002)

zerone777CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

40%

393-591 (984)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

323-687 (1010)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

31%

300-658 (958)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4361-9392 (13753)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

23%

288-962 (1250)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

3784-17134 (20918)

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 12 top traders (83%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0xcf0789a6...a450d4

Slug

mastercard-ma-q3-cross-border-volume-growth-local-currency-basis-10pt5-to-11pt5

Traders in this Market

CoinTrick

Yes — $200

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e

No — $0

alex20011

No — $0

kaxel78

No — $0

pollo07

No — $0

zerone777

No — $0

akroll

No — $0

klli27

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

Trade on Polymarket