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Optimus-Yes
Bromley86<$100YesNo
LornaPredictsCTR<$100NoNoNo
Istaroth<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 50%
Total Value
$317.88
Combined PnL
$39.83
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$317.88
Total Shares318
Combined PnL+$121.19
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares605
Combined PnL-$81.37
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Optimus- | Yesavg 62¢ | $193.37 | $311.88 | +$121.01 | 61% 1196-757 (1953) |
Bromley86<$100 | Yesavg 98.2¢ | $5.89 | $6 | +$0.18 | 90% 719-80 (799) |
PI piepedCTR<$100 | Noavg 41.8¢ | $80.54 | — | -$80.54 | 42% 65-88 (153) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.2¢ | $0.82 | — | -$0.82 | 18% 519-2318 (2837) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Noavg 39¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 5201-7128 (12329) |
TR troimCTR<$100 | Noavg 41¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 384-681 (1065) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 76.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 23% 288-962 (1250) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Yesavg 57.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15094-27222 (42316) |
Optimus-Invested
$193.37
Value
$311.88
PnL
+$121.01
Record
61%
1196-757 (1953)
Bromley86<$100Invested
$5.89
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
90%
719-80 (799)
PI
piepedCTR<$100Invested
$80.54
Value
—
PnL
-$80.54
Record
42%
65-88 (153)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
$0.82
Value
—
PnL
-$0.82
Record
18%
519-2318 (2837)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
5201-7128 (12329)
TR
troimCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
384-681 (1065)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
23%
288-962 (1250)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15094-27222 (42316)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0c18daf6...125dd2
Slug
lyon-curfew-effectively-lifted-by-october-31-2026