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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 4?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes34%
No67%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance35.6%
33.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$180.66
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
280.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x77728aa9...ede051
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-november-4-2026-5c