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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 43%
Total Value
$129.21
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9b2bddf1...c69237
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-paris-on-november-1-2026-5c