Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 23?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 86%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x61869b1f...7562ab
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-23-2026-50-51f