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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 22?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$22
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf2df8841...dc78b3
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-nyc-on-october-22-2026-50-51f