Back to Markets
NoYesNo
Istaroth<$100YesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 28?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$8.66
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$8.66
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Noavg 42¢ | $8.4 | — | -$8.66 | 55% 293-244 (537) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 59.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1684-1666 (3350) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6367-5579 (11946) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 65.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 25% 283-869 (1152) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14918-27049 (41967) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
—
PnL
-$8.66
Record
55%
293-244 (537)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1684-1666 (3350)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6367-5579 (11946)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
283-869 (1152)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14918-27049 (41967)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x4445bb7d...010ad8
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-london-on-october-28-2026-9c