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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?
Resolved Yes. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
No 92%
Total Value
$11.93
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
11 of 12 top traders (92%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6057f740...65b8d0
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-5-2026-25c