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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 4?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 83%
Total Value
$25
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa3c18449...fec4ed
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-4-2026-25c