Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 14?
Resolved Yes. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 89%
Total Value
$36.75
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 9 top traders (89%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x891355a7...ba82c7
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-14-2026-26c