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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 86%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6f4d065e...15e21f
Slug
lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-12-2026-26c