LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 1 Winner

6 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Frank Esports (40%) · Frank Esports at 100¢ · $11K held · ends Nov 11

Ground Zero Gaming<1¢Frank Esports>99¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Frank Esports

Consensus Traders

Frank Esports 40%

Total Value

$10.7K

Combined PnL

$652.75

Smart Money Entry

57.5¢ → 100¢

+74% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralFrank Esports at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Frank Esports

6 of 15 top traders (40%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Ground Zero Gaming0%

Frank Esports100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Frank Esports6 traders

Total Value$10.0K

Total Shares10,101

Combined PnL+$1.0K

Ground Zero Gaming9 traders

Total Value$727.69

Total Shares4,221

Combined PnL-$347.85

Frank Esports — 40%Ground Zero Gaming — 60%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 64%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

50% of non-arb traders are on Frank Esports. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 64% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sniperFrank Esports 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrGround Zero Gaming 57% · 7

Diverging

Top 1000Frank Esports 50% · 16

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Frank Esportsavg 54.7¢	$4.8K	$5.5K	+$725.36	56% 3836-3005 (6841)
31 319113331313111	Frank Esportsavg 60.5¢	$2.4K	$2.7K	+$356.08	50% 58-59 (117)
BR brobrobrobrobro	Frank Esportsavg 57.9¢	$1.7K	$1.5K	-$115.04	10% 3-28 (31)
LR lryyyCTR	Ground Zero Gamingavg 35.9¢	$351.74	$523.96	+$172.22	46% 230-271 (501)
PA pauleta23	Frank Esportsavg 97.4¢	$210	$212.3	+$2.3	28% 176-464 (640)
38 38791873984189CTR	Ground Zero Gamingavg 66.7¢	$155.8	$165.02	+$9.23	48% 1257-1350 (2607)
NO norm1e69<$100	Frank Esportsavg 32.5¢	$33.5	$53.05	+$68.55	44% 1371-1730 (3101)
CA calculate10	Frank Esportsavg 45.9¢	$470.85	$46.22	-$36.65	22% 25-90 (115)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 15.8¢	$61.48	$24.68	-$36.8	46% 108-128 (236)
GT gt7238CTR<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 70.6¢	$73	$6.57	-$66.43	3% 16-448 (464)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 68¢	$4.85	$4.97	+$0.12	31% 274-610 (884)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 65¢	$10	$0.98	-$9.02	41% 3108-4463 (7571)
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR	Ground Zero Gamingavg 16.4¢	$259.93	$0.79	-$259.14	8% 17-185 (202)
TE testBruno2CTR	Ground Zero Gamingavg 17.5¢	$350.32	$0.43	-$114.21	37% 22-37 (59)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Ground Zero Gamingavg 7.7¢	$44.1	$0.29	-$43.81	28% 149-389 (538)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Frank Esports

Invested

$4,755.65

Value

$5.5K

PnL

+$725.36

Record

56%

3836-3005 (6841)

319113331313111

Frank Esports

Invested

$2,396.77

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$356.08

Record

50%

58-59 (117)

brobrobrobrobro

Frank Esports

Invested

$1,655.77

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$115.04

Record

10%

3-28 (31)

lryyyCTR

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$351.74

Value

$523.96

PnL

+$172.22

Record

46%

230-271 (501)

pauleta23

Frank Esports

Invested

$210

Value

$212.3

PnL

+$2.3

Record

28%

176-464 (640)

38791873984189CTR

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$155.8

Value

$165.02

PnL

+$9.23

Record

48%

1257-1350 (2607)

norm1e69<$100

Frank Esports

Invested

$33.5

Value

$53.05

PnL

+$68.55

Record

44%

1371-1730 (3101)

calculate10

Frank Esports

Invested

$470.85

Value

$46.22

PnL

-$36.65

Record

22%

25-90 (115)

alpheclabs2CTR<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$61.48

Value

$24.68

PnL

-$36.8

Record

46%

108-128 (236)

gt7238CTR<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$73

Value

$6.57

PnL

-$66.43

Record

16-448 (464)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$4.85

Value

$4.97

PnL

+$0.12

Record

31%

274-610 (884)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$10

Value

$0.98

PnL

-$9.02

Record

41%

3108-4463 (7571)

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$259.93

Value

$0.79

PnL

-$259.14

Record

17-185 (202)

testBruno2CTR

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$350.32

Value

$0.43

PnL

-$114.21

Record

37%

22-37 (59)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Ground Zero Gaming

Invested

$44.1

Value

$0.29

PnL

-$43.81

Record

28%

149-389 (538)

Research grade

NeutralFrank Esports at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Frank Esports

6 of 15 top traders (40%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 64%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

50% of non-arb traders are on Frank Esports. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 64% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sniperFrank Esports 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrGround Zero Gaming 57% · 7

Diverging

Top 1000Frank Esports 50% · 16

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Frank Esports wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.