Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Game 2: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?
Resolved Over. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Over 40%
1 arb excluded
$3.6K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
2 of 7 top traders (29%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PV pvc975 | Overavg 99.9¢ | $2.6K | $2.6K | +$2.64 | 98% 424-8 (432) |
SB sbimbgCTR | Underavg 44¢ | $1.6K | — | $-1.6K | — 13-6 (19) |
7V 7ViziCapitale | Overavg 55.7¢ | $417.23 | $748.63 | +$331.39 | — 4-9 (13) |
SU suntoriARB<$100 | Overavg 56¢ | $252.9 | $212.56 | +$35.39 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 56¢ | $119.03 | $212.56 | +$126.73 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 44.9¢ | $90.43 | — | -$91.34 | |
LI lissartterCTR | Underavg 45.2¢ | $232.62 | — | -$232.62 | 38% 14-23 (37) |
 AnjunCTR<$100 | Underavg 42¢ | $5.92 | — | -$5.92 | 79% 1554-425 (1979) |
PI PiEDawgCTR | Underavg 44¢ | $131.4 | — | -$11.95 | 1% 2-146 (148) |
TI timetowanderCTR | Underavg 40¢ | $119.46 | — | +$2.99 | 45% 360-446 (806) |
Invested
$2,634.82
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$2.64
Record
98%
424-8 (432)
Invested
$1,554.78
Value
—
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
—
13-6 (19)
Invested
$417.23
Value
$748.63
PnL
+$331.39
Record
—
4-9 (13)
Invested
$252.9
Value
$212.56
PnL
+$35.39
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
Both legs:
Invested
$232.62
Value
—
PnL
-$232.62
Record
38%
14-23 (37)
AnjunCTR<$100Invested
$5.92
Value
—
PnL
-$5.92
Record
79%
1554-425 (1979)
Invested
$131.4
Value
—
PnL
-$11.95
Record
1%
2-146 (148)
Invested
$119.46
Value
—
PnL
+$2.99
Record
45%
360-446 (806)