Back to Markets
petehegsethCTR<$100Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNoNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.31
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares16
Combined PnL-$0.31
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 29%No — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
petehegsethCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.9¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 84% 26-5 (31) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20530-12988 (33518) |
ZE zerone777<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 379-555 (934) |
LI Likaseent<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | — | — | +$0 | 29% 184-455 (639) |
AK akroll<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 306-649 (955) |
KL klli27<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | — | — | +$0 | 31% 280-619 (899) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14598-26253 (40851) |
petehegsethCTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
84%
26-5 (31)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20530-12988 (33518)
ZE
zerone777<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
379-555 (934)
LI
Likaseent<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
184-455 (639)
AK
akroll<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
306-649 (955)
KL
klli27<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
31%
280-619 (899)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14598-26253 (40851)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xa63dabe0...28beb5
Slug
khamenei-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026-5-9