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petehegsethCTR<$100No
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoNoNoNo
2B9S<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.71
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$0.71
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 88%Yes — 12%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
petehegsethCTR<$100 | Noavg 3.1¢ | $0.71 | — | -$0.71 | 84% 26-5 (31) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 18.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20530-12988 (33518) |
ZE zerone777CTR<$100 | Noavg 23¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 379-555 (934) |
LI LikaseentCTR<$100 | Noavg 23¢ | — | — | +$0 | 29% 184-455 (639) |
AK akrollCTR<$100 | Noavg 23¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 306-649 (955) |
KL klli27CTR<$100 | Noavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 31% 280-619 (899) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 16¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14598-26253 (40851) |
2B9S<$100 | Yesavg 82¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3771-16775 (20546) |
petehegsethCTR<$100Invested
$0.71
Value
—
PnL
-$0.71
Record
84%
26-5 (31)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20530-12988 (33518)
ZE
zerone777CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
379-555 (934)
LI
LikaseentCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
184-455 (639)
AK
akrollCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
306-649 (955)
KL
klli27CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
31%
280-619 (899)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14598-26253 (40851)
2B9S<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3771-16775 (20546)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf9fec444...3d8e78
Slug
khamenei-of-tweets-october-20-october-27-2026-0-4