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Over
HRTrading<$100UnderUnderUnder
RN1<$100UnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 50%
Total Value
$1.56
Combined PnL
-$1.34
Smart Money Signal
Over
1 of 6 top traders (17%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$1.73
Under5 traders
Total Value$1.56
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.39
Over — 17%Under — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 5.4¢ | $1.73 | — | -$1.73 | 49% 7902-8215 (16117) |
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 75¢ | $1.17 | $1.56 | +$0.39 | 53% 4546-4095 (8641) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Underavg 67¢ | — | — | +$0 | 48% 914-983 (1897) |
DA dashattacker<$100 | Underavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 72% 2399-924 (3323) |
RN1<$100 | Underavg 81¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56568-48734 (105302) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 71.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45758-32100 (77858) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
49%
7902-8215 (16117)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.17
Value
$1.56
PnL
+$0.39
Record
53%
4546-4095 (8641)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
914-983 (1897)
DA
dashattacker<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
2399-924 (3323)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56568-48734 (105302)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45758-32100 (77858)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x88034b79...6c0de6
Slug
jap-rey-ura-2026-10-31-first-half-total-1pt5