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YesNoYesYes
tradecraftCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$775.62
Combined PnL
-$98.44
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$775.62
Total Shares776
Combined PnL-$24.49
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares564
Combined PnL-$73.94
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 86.1¢ | $790.89 | $765.74 | -$25.15 | 49% 4576-4835 (9411) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 13¢ | $70.74 | — | -$70.74 | 52% 2443-2220 (4663) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Yesavg 87¢ | $4.35 | $5 | +$0.65 | 48% 2479-2702 (5181) |
LO looppau<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $4.88 | $4.88 | +$0 | 99% 813-2 (815) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Noavg 16¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 34% 449-883 (1332) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$790.89
Value
$765.74
PnL
-$25.15
Record
49%
4576-4835 (9411)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$70.74
Value
—
PnL
-$70.74
Record
52%
2443-2220 (4663)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.65
Record
48%
2479-2702 (5181)
LO
looppau<$100Invested
$4.88
Value
$4.88
PnL
+$0
Record
99%
813-2 (815)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
34%
449-883 (1332)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x778aea47...a409d0
Slug
ja3-zwe-roa-2026-11-15-zwe