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NoNo
tradecraft<$100NoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Roasso Kumamoto end in a draw?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$349.07
Combined PnL
-$9.72
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$349.07
Total Shares349
Combined PnL+$64.42
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares308
Combined PnL-$74.14
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 75.5¢ | $150 | $198.65 | +$48.65 | 52% 2443-2220 (4663) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 88.5¢ | $85.21 | $78.78 | -$6.43 | 49% 4576-4835 (9411) |
tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 69¢ | $49.44 | $71.64 | +$22.21 | 34% 449-883 (1332) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 29¢ | $49.84 | — | -$49.84 | 37% 1308-2191 (3499) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $5.26 | — | -$5.26 | 48% 2479-2702 (5181) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 31.2¢ | $19.04 | — | -$19.04 | 46% 3134-3672 (6806) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$150
Value
$198.65
PnL
+$48.65
Record
52%
2443-2220 (4663)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$85.21
Value
$78.78
PnL
-$6.43
Record
49%
4576-4835 (9411)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$49.44
Value
$71.64
PnL
+$22.21
Record
34%
449-883 (1332)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$49.84
Value
—
PnL
-$49.84
Record
37%
1308-2191 (3499)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$5.26
Value
—
PnL
-$5.26
Record
48%
2479-2702 (5181)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$19.04
Value
—
PnL
-$19.04
Record
46%
3134-3672 (6806)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1b449e52...ebd3a5
Slug
ja3-zwe-roa-2026-11-15-draw