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NoYesNoYesNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Reilac Shiga FC win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$855.83
Combined PnL
$113.7
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$692.54
Total Shares693
Combined PnL+$122.08
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares55
Combined PnL-$8.39
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 80.5¢ | $541.42 | $653.2 | +$111.78 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 16.1¢ | $386.02 | $163.28 | -$222.73 | 49% 4632-4895 (9527) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 76.8¢ | $125.47 | $163.28 | +$37.81 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 16.1¢ | $260.55 | — | -$260.55 | |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 73.9¢ | $27.34 | $37.02 | +$9.68 | 35% 628-1146 (1774) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 13.6¢ | $11.94 | — | -$7.11 | 48% 2518-2728 (5246) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $1.69 | $2.32 | +$0.63 | 47% 1186-1358 (2544) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 53% 1883-1643 (3526) |
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $2 | — | -$0.78 | 21% 65-244 (309) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$541.42
Value
$653.2
PnL
+$111.78
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$386.02
Value
$163.28
PnL
-$222.73
Record
49%
4632-4895 (9527)
Both legs:
No$125.4776.8¢+$37.81
Yes$260.5516.1¢-$260.55
LU
LuckyLoo<$100Invested
$27.34
Value
$37.02
PnL
+$9.68
Record
35%
628-1146 (1774)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$11.94
Value
—
PnL
-$7.11
Record
48%
2518-2728 (5246)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$1.69
Value
$2.32
PnL
+$0.63
Record
47%
1186-1358 (2544)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
53%
1883-1643 (3526)
0X
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.78
Record
21%
65-244 (309)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf6d5e07d...51329a
Slug
ja3-rei-osa-2026-11-15-rei