Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will FC Osaka win on 2026-11-15?

Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

No 83%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

$754.46

Smart Money Signal

No

10 of 12 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No10 traders
Total Value$1.7K
Total Shares1,729
Combined PnL+$867.68
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares200
Combined PnL-$113.23
No — 83%Yes — 17%
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100
No

Invested

$1,050.37

Value

$946.85

PnL

-$103.51

Record

49%

4632-4895 (9527)

Both legs:

No$571.460.3¢+$375.45
Yes$478.9738.4¢-$478.97
GO
GoalLineGhost
No

Invested

$502.42

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$540.37

Record

52%

2473-2263 (4736)

MA
MadridTime
No

Invested

$167.21

Value

$363.22

PnL

+$196.01

Record

38%

1338-2179 (3517)

LU
LuckyLoo<$100
No

Invested

$46.18

Value

$97.86

PnL

+$51.68

Record

35%

628-1146 (1774)

SN
SnakeBall<$100
No

Invested

$52.02

Value

$80.83

PnL

+$28.81

Record

47%

1186-1358 (2544)

LI
LightParadox<$100
No

Invested

$47.19

Value

$58.99

PnL

+$11.8

Record

37%

1333-2226 (3559)

SU
suntoriCTR
Yes

Invested

$124.88

Value

—

PnL

-$107.94

Record

46%

3204-3750 (6954)

tradecraft<$100
No

Invested

$19.53

Value

$39.86

PnL

+$20.33

Record

34%

460-894 (1354)

FE
ferdinand2<$100
No

Invested

$24.79

Value

$24.85

PnL

+$14.65

Record

48%

2518-2728 (5246)

VE
Venusian<$100
No

Invested

$8.89

Value

$10.16

PnL

+$1.27

Record

38%

1339-2199 (3538)

LI
Limousin<$100
No

Invested

$4.68

Value

$5.2

PnL

+$0.52

Record

38%

1314-2163 (3477)

SE
sentrio<$100
No

Invested

$2.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.25

Record

41%

1173-1667 (2840)

0X
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$5.29

Value

—

PnL

-$5.29

Record

21%

65-244 (309)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x45dc8781...bed829
Slug
ja3-rei-osa-2026-11-15-osa

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$103.51
GO

GoalLineGhost

No — $1.0K

+$540.37
MA

MadridTime

No — $363.22

+$196.01
LU

LuckyLoo

No — $97.86

+$51.68
SN

SnakeBall

No — $80.83

+$28.81
LI

LightParadox

No — $58.99

+$11.8
SU

suntori

CTR

Yes — $0

-$107.94

tradecraft

No — $39.86

+$20.33
FE

ferdinand2

No — $24.85

+$14.65
VE

Venusian

No — $10.16

+$1.27
Trade on Polymarket