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UnderOverOverUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ehime FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$4.28
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,076
Combined PnL+$465.72
Over1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,000
Combined PnL-$469.99
Under β 75%Over β 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 56.6Β’ | $593.04 | $1.0K | +$454.85 | 49% 4576-4835 (9411) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 44Β’ | $165.45 | $63.18 | -$102.27 | 52% 2443-2220 (4663) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 42.7Β’ | $27 | $63.18 | +$36.18 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 44Β’ | $138.45 | β | -$138.45 | |
95 95deCTR | Overavg 47Β’ | $469.99 | β | -$469.99 | 62% 18-11 (29) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 53Β’ | $12.19 | $23 | +$10.81 | 48% 2479-2702 (5181) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Underavg 99Β’ | $5.43 | $5.48 | +$0.05 | 99% 621-9 (630) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$593.04
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$454.85
Record
49%
4576-4835 (9411)
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$165.45
Value
$63.18
PnL
-$102.27
Record
52%
2443-2220 (4663)
Both legs:
Under$2742.7Β’+$36.18
Over$138.4544Β’-$138.45
95
95deCTRInvested
$469.99
Value
β
PnL
-$469.99
Record
62%
18-11 (29)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$12.19
Value
$23
PnL
+$10.81
Record
48%
2479-2702 (5181)
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$5.43
Value
$5.48
PnL
+$0.05
Record
99%
621-9 (630)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbf8371ff...ddc7c7
Slug
ja3-nag-ehi-2026-11-15-total-2pt5