Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Sagan Tosu vs. Kataller Toyama end in a draw?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
No 56%
$684.14
$45.31
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian | Noavg 75.4¢ | $371.52 | $371.52 | +$91.32 | 49% 1807-1885 (3692) |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 87.3¢ | $159.54 | $182.82 | +$23.28 | 48% 1742-1871 (3613) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 94.9¢ | $77.31 | $64 | -$13.31 | 50% 1821-1809 (3630) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 74¢ | $36.63 | $45 | +$8.37 | 51% 27041-25614 (52655) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | $51.22 | — | -$51.22 | 50% 28880-28690 (57570) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 90.8¢ | $31.29 | $20.8 | -$10.48 | 49% 1765-1864 (3629) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $0.99 | — | -$0.99 | 49% 14970-15869 (30839) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 50% 26374-25995 (52369) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 28¢ | $0.39 | — | -$0.39 | 51% 38177-37419 (75596) |
Invested
$371.52
Value
$371.52
PnL
+$91.32
Record
49%
1807-1885 (3692)
Invested
$159.54
Value
$182.82
PnL
+$23.28
Record
48%
1742-1871 (3613)
Invested
$77.31
Value
$64
PnL
-$13.31
Record
50%
1821-1809 (3630)
Invested
$36.63
Value
$45
PnL
+$8.37
Record
51%
27041-25614 (52655)
Invested
$51.22
Value
—
PnL
-$51.22
Record
50%
28880-28690 (57570)
Invested
$31.29
Value
$20.8
PnL
-$10.48
Record
49%
1765-1864 (3629)
Invested
$0.99
Value
—
PnL
-$0.99
Record
49%
14970-15869 (30839)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
50%
26374-25995 (52369)
Invested
$0.39
Value
—
PnL
-$0.39
Record
51%
38177-37419 (75596)